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	<title>OhRyan.ca &#187; near future</title>
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		<title>Self-Drive Cars [Near Future Prediction]</title>
		<link>http://ohryan.ca/blog/2010/02/01/self-drive-cars-near-future-prediction/</link>
		<comments>http://ohryan.ca/blog/2010/02/01/self-drive-cars-near-future-prediction/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Feb 2010 17:58:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>RyanN</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Random]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[car]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[near future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ohryan.ca/blog/?p=542</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Listening to 16 episodes of the Four Cast Podcast has gotten me into a prediction mood. Here&#8217;s my first prediction: With an increasing array of dashboard distractions at driver&#8217;s disposal, there will be a statistically small but noticeable increase traffic accidents and fatalities in urban centers. Exhibit A) Studies are starting to emerge showing that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Listening to 16 episodes of the<a href="http://www.fourcastpodcast.com/" target="_blank"> Four Cast Podcast</a> has gotten me into a prediction mood. Here&#8217;s my first prediction:</p>
<p>With an <a href="http://ces.cnet.com/8301-31045_1-10425186-269.html" target="_blank">increasing array of dashboard distractions</a> at driver&#8217;s disposal, there will be a statistically small but noticeable increase traffic accidents and fatalities in urban centers.<br />
Exhibit A) Studies are starting to emerge showing that <a href="http://wheels.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/01/29/study-finds-that-reduced-phone-use-does-not-cut-crashes/" target="_blank">anti-cellphone-talking laws have no impact on crash data</a>.<br />
Exhibit B) Just last month nation media made a big deal about <a href="http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/toronto/grim-month-continues-with-14th-pedestrian-death/article1443794/" target="_blank">14 pedestrian deaths in Toronto</a>, in the span of a few weeks.</p>
<p>Whether this is a statistically relevant number, I predict that the media will continue covering this sort of thing. Traffic safety will become a major issue. People may even begin to recognize that it has become difficult to drive will so many distractions, but by-and-large people will see this distractions as a necessary evil.</p>
<p>This will set the stage for the self-drive car. Based on the media&#8217;s (car-company backed) influence, the general public will see the self-drive car as the cure for the growing pandemic of traffic carnage &#8211; among other things. Depending on how bad it gets, manufacturers may even be granted some leeway to tweak the self-drive software, people might say things like &#8220;it&#8217;s not the drivers fault granny got hit, he had a blue screen of death.&#8221;</p>
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